Mini-Meta Delta

Explanation of how to compute the meta-analyzed weighted effect size using dabest.

When scientists conduct replicates of the same experiment, the effect size of each replicate often varies, complicating the interpretation of the results. Starting from v2023.02.14, DABEST can now compute the meta-analyzed weighted effect size given multiple replicates of the same experiment. This can help resolve differences between replicates and simplify interpretation.

This function employs the generic inverse-variance method to calculate the effect size, as follows:

\(\theta_{\text{weighted}} = \frac{\Sigma\hat{\theta_{i}}w_{i}}{{\Sigma}w_{i}}\)

where:

\(\hat{\theta_{i}} = \text{Mean difference for replicate }i\)

\(w_{i} = \text{Weight for replicate }i = \frac{1}{s_{i}^2}\)

\(s_{i}^2 = \text{Pooled variance for replicate }i = \frac{(n_{test}-1)s_{test}^2+(n_{control}-1)s_{control}^2}{n_{test}+n_{control}-2}\)

\(n = \text{sample size and }s^2 = \text{variance for control/test.}\)

Note that this utilizes the fixed-effects model of meta-analysis, in contrast to the random-effects model. In the fixed-effects model, all variation between the results of each replicate is assumed to be solely due to sampling error. Therefore, we recommend using this function exclusively for replications of the same experiment, where it can be safely assumed that each replicate estimates the same population mean \(\mu\).

Additionally, be aware that as of v2023.02.14, DABEST can only compute weighted effect size for mean difference only, and not for standardized measures such as Cohen’s d.

For more information on meta-analysis, please refer to Chapter 10 of the Cochrane handbook: https://training.cochrane.org/handbook/current/chapter-10

Load libraries

import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
import dabest

print("We're using DABEST v{}".format(dabest.__version__))
We're using DABEST v2024.03.29

Create dataset for mini-meta demo

Let´s create a dataset to demonstrate the mini-meta function.

from scipy.stats import norm # Used in generation of populations.

np.random.seed(9999) # Fix the seed to ensure reproducibility of results.
Ns = 20 # The number of samples taken from each population

# Create samples
c1 = norm.rvs(loc=3, scale=0.4, size=Ns)
c2 = norm.rvs(loc=3.5, scale=0.75, size=Ns)
c3 = norm.rvs(loc=3.25, scale=0.4, size=Ns)

t1 = norm.rvs(loc=3.5, scale=0.5, size=Ns)
t2 = norm.rvs(loc=2.5, scale=0.6, size=Ns)
t3 = norm.rvs(loc=3, scale=0.75, size=Ns)


# Add a `gender` column for coloring the data.
females = np.repeat('Female', Ns/2).tolist()
males = np.repeat('Male', Ns/2).tolist()
gender = females + males

# Add an `id` column for paired data plotting.
id_col = pd.Series(range(1, Ns+1))

# Combine samples and gender into a DataFrame.
df = pd.DataFrame({'Control 1' : c1,     'Test 1' : t1,
                   'Control 2' : c2,     'Test 2' : t2,
                   'Control 3' : c3,     'Test 3' : t3,
                   'Gender'    : gender, 'ID'  : id_col
                  })

We now have three Control and three Test groups, simulating three replicates of the same experiment. Our dataset has also a non-numerical column indicating gender, and another column indicating the identity of each observation.

This is known as a ‘wide’ dataset. See this writeup for more details.

df.head()
Control 1 Test 1 Control 2 Test 2 Control 3 Test 3 Gender ID
0 2.793984 3.420875 3.324661 1.707467 3.816940 1.796581 Female 1
1 3.236759 3.467972 3.685186 1.121846 3.750358 3.944566 Female 2
2 3.019149 4.377179 5.616891 3.301381 2.945397 2.832188 Female 3
3 2.804638 4.564780 2.773152 2.534018 3.575179 3.048267 Female 4
4 2.858019 3.220058 2.550361 2.796365 3.692138 3.276575 Female 5

Loading data

Next, we load data as usual using dabest.load(). However, this time, we also specify the argument mini_meta=True. Since we are loading data from three experiments, idx is passed as a tuple of tuples, as shown below:

unpaired = dabest.load(df, idx=(("Control 1", "Test 1"), ("Control 2", "Test 2"), ("Control 3", "Test 3")), mini_meta=True)

When this dabest object is invoked, it should indicate that effect sizes will be calculated for each group, along with the weighted delta. It is important to note once again that the weighted delta will only be calculated for mean differences

unpaired
DABEST v2024.03.29
==================
                  
Good afternoon!
The current time is Tue Mar 19 15:39:44 2024.

Effect size(s) with 95% confidence intervals will be computed for:
1. Test 1 minus Control 1
2. Test 2 minus Control 2
3. Test 3 minus Control 3
4. weighted delta (only for mean difference)

5000 resamples will be used to generate the effect size bootstraps.

By calling the mean_diff attribute, you can view the mean differences for each group as well as the weighted delta.

unpaired.mean_diff
DABEST v2024.03.29
==================
                  
Good afternoon!
The current time is Tue Mar 19 15:39:47 2024.

The unpaired mean difference between Control 1 and Test 1 is 0.48 [95%CI 0.221, 0.768].
The p-value of the two-sided permutation t-test is 0.001, calculated for legacy purposes only. 

The unpaired mean difference between Control 2 and Test 2 is -1.38 [95%CI -1.93, -0.895].
The p-value of the two-sided permutation t-test is 0.0, calculated for legacy purposes only. 

The unpaired mean difference between Control 3 and Test 3 is -0.255 [95%CI -0.717, 0.196].
The p-value of the two-sided permutation t-test is 0.293, calculated for legacy purposes only. 

The weighted-average unpaired mean differences is -0.0104 [95%CI -0.222, 0.215].
The p-value of the two-sided permutation t-test is 0.937, calculated for legacy purposes only. 

5000 bootstrap samples were taken; the confidence interval is bias-corrected and accelerated.
Any p-value reported is the probability of observing theeffect size (or greater),
assuming the null hypothesis of zero difference is true.
For each p-value, 5000 reshuffles of the control and test labels were performed.

To get the results of all valid statistical tests, use `.mean_diff.statistical_tests`

You can view the details of each experiment by accessing the property mean_diff.results as follows.

pd.options.display.max_columns = 50
unpaired.mean_diff.results
control test control_N test_N effect_size is_paired difference ci bca_low bca_high bca_interval_idx pct_low pct_high pct_interval_idx bootstraps resamples random_seed permutations pvalue_permutation permutation_count permutations_var pvalue_welch statistic_welch pvalue_students_t statistic_students_t pvalue_mann_whitney statistic_mann_whitney
0 Control 1 Test 1 20 20 mean difference None 0.480290 95 0.220869 0.767721 (140, 4889) 0.215697 0.761716 (125, 4875) [0.6686169333655454, 0.4382051534234943, 0.665... 5000 12345 [-0.17259843762502491, 0.03802293852634886, -0... 0.0010 5000 [0.026356588154404337, 0.027102495439046997, 0... 0.002094 -3.308806 0.002057 -3.308806 0.001625 83.0
1 Control 2 Test 2 20 20 mean difference None -1.381085 95 -1.925232 -0.894537 (108, 4857) -1.903964 -0.875420 (125, 4875) [-1.1603841133810318, -1.6359724856206515, -1.... 5000 12345 [0.015164519971271773, 0.017231919606192303, -... 0.0000 5000 [0.12241741427801064, 0.12241565174150129, 0.1... 0.000011 5.138840 0.000009 5.138840 0.000026 356.0
2 Control 3 Test 3 20 20 mean difference None -0.254831 95 -0.717337 0.196121 (115, 4864) -0.710346 0.206131 (125, 4875) [-0.09556572841011901, 0.35166073097757433, -0... 5000 12345 [-0.05901068591042824, -0.13617667681797307, 0... 0.2934 5000 [0.058358897501663703, 0.05796253365278035, 0.... 0.294766 1.069798 0.291459 1.069798 0.285305 240.0

Note, however, that this does not contain the relevant information for our weighted delta. The details of the weighted delta are stored as attributes of the mini_meta_delta object, such as:

  • group_var: the pooled group variances of each set of 2 experiment groups.
  • difference: the weighted mean difference calculated based on the raw data.
  • bootstraps: the deltas of each set of 2 experiment groups calculated based on the bootstraps.
  • bootstraps_weighted_delta: the weighted deltas calculated based on the bootstraps.
  • permutations: the deltas of each set of 2 experiment groups calculated based on the permutation data.
  • permutations_var: the pooled group variances of each set of 2 experiment groups calculated based on permutation data.
  • permutations_weighted_delta: the weighted deltas calculated based on the permutation data.

You can call each of the above attributes individually:

unpaired.mean_diff.mini_meta_delta.difference
-0.01035228770106855

Attributes of the weighted delta can also be recorded in a dict using the to_dict() function. Here, we demonstrate this process and then convert the generated dictionary into a dataframe for enhanced readability:

weighted_delta_details = unpaired.mean_diff.mini_meta_delta.to_dict()
weighted_delta_df = pd.DataFrame.from_dict(weighted_delta_details, orient = 'index')
weighted_delta_df
0
acceleration_value 0.000193
alpha 0.05
bca_high 0.215037
bca_interval_idx (128, 4878)
bca_low -0.221666
bias_correction 0.005013
bootstraps [[0.6686169333655454, 0.4382051534234943, 0.66...
bootstraps_weighted_delta [0.1771640316740503, 0.05505265333097302, 0.16...
ci 95
control [Control 1, Control 2, Control 3]
control_N [20, 20, 20]
control_var [0.17628013404546258, 0.9584767911266554, 0.16...
difference -0.010352
group_var [0.021070042637349427, 0.07222883451891535, 0....
jackknives [-0.008668330406027476, -0.00864390324492664, ...
pct_high 0.213769
pct_interval_idx (125, 4875)
pct_low -0.222307
permutation_count 5000
permutations [[-0.17259843762502491, 0.03802293852634886, -...
permutations_var [[0.026356588154404337, 0.027102495439046997, ...
permutations_weighted_delta [-0.11757207833491819, -0.012928679700934625, ...
pvalue_permutation 0.9374
test [Test 1, Test 2, Test 3]
test_N [20, 20, 20]
test_var [0.24512071870152594, 0.4860998992516514, 0.96...

Generating estimation plots - unpaired data

Calling the plot() method produces a Cumming estimation plot showing the data for each experimental replicate as well as the calculated weighted delta.

unpaired.mean_diff.plot()

You can also hide the weighted delta by passing the argument show_mini_meta=False. In this case, the resulting graph would be identical to a multiple two-groups plot:

unpaired.mean_diff.plot(show_mini_meta=False)

Producing estimation plots - paired data

The tutorial up to this point has focused on unpaired data. If your data is paired, the process for loading, plotting, and accessing the data is similar to that for unpaired data, with the exception that the argument paired="sequential" or paired="baseline" and an appropriate id_col are passed during the dabest.load() step, as shown below:

paired = dabest.load(df, idx=(("Control 1", "Test 1"), ("Control 2", "Test 2"), ("Control 3", "Test 3")), mini_meta=True, id_col="ID", paired="baseline")
paired.mean_diff.plot()